Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Jokinen 46.4% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Jokinen leads 6-6 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Jokinen 66.2%
Defensive zone
Spaling 66.0%
Neutral zone
Jokinen 51.8%
Result
Olli Jokinen favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Spaling
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
6
(12 meetings)
6
6
Spaling
Jokinen
Last 10: Spaling 5-5 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
2
Spaling
Jokinen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spaling
Jokinen
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
1
2
Spaling
Jokinen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
45.8% (3,924)
+4.7%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
50.8% (585)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
42.9% (247)
+5.1%
On power play, Jokinen has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Spaling shoots left. Jokinen is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,240).
Home / Away
Spaling
Jokinen
Home
51.9% (1,437)
47.4% (2,345)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
45.3% (2,443)
By Period
Spaling
Jokinen
P1
49.8%
45.6%
P2
48.3%
47.5%
P3
52.0%
45.4%
OT
40.0%
56.1%
Final 5 min
51.3%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2013 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 02:04 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 2 | 11:04 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 1 | 04:39 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 2 | 12:02 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 22, 2011 | 2 | 04:14 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 3 | 01:19 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Feb 1, 2011 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2011 | 1 | 02:33 | Offensive | Olli Jokinen |