Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 51.7% vs Jokinen 46.3% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 59.1%
Defensive zone
Spaling 69.1%
Neutral zone
Spaling 58.3%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Spaling
Jokinen
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Spaling
Jokinen
Last 5: Spaling 3-2 Jokinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
0
Spaling
Jokinen
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Jokinen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jokinen
0
1
Spaling
Jokinen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Jokinen
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (119)
45.3% (1,142)
+11.0%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
53.4% (131)
-13.4%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
43.9% (57)
+0.3%
On power play, Jokinen has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jokinen shoots left. Spaling is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (102).
Spaling shoots left. Jokinen is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (900).
Home / Away
Spaling
Jokinen
Home
40.0% (45)
48.8% (692)
Away
57.4% (122)
42.9% (638)
By Period
Spaling
Jokinen
P1
47.1%
44.9%
P2
52.2%
45.7%
P3
61.4%
46.9%
OT
33.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.7%
Jokinen
38.0%▼
42.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2013 | 3 | 17:56 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 09:30 | Defensive | Olli Jokinen |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 2 | 00:48 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 8, 2013 | 1 | 02:04 | Neutral | Olli Jokinen |
| Oct 20, 2013 | 1 | 17:06 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |