Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Spaling wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 48.9% vs Bergeron 59.7% (-11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 57.7%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 68.0%
Neutral zone
Spaling 54.4%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Spaling
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Spaling
Bergeron
Last 6: Spaling 3-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Bergeron
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Bergeron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (155)
60.5% (1,394)
-13.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
64.0% (300)
-14.0%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
53.7% (255)
+6.3%
On power play, Bergeron has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Spaling is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Spaling shoots left. Bergeron is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,235).
Home / Away
Spaling
Bergeron
Home
47.2% (108)
62.0% (949)
Away
50.0% (66)
58.6% (1,002)
By Period
Spaling
Bergeron
P1
43.6%
59.2%
P2
41.9%
63.9%
P3
59.3%
57.0%
OT
66.7%
68.6%
Final 5 min
45.7%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
48.3%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 09:40 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 7, 2015 | 1 | 19:34 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |