Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 50.1% vs Berglund 48.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 17-6 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 51.8%
Defensive zone
Spaling 68.8%
Neutral zone
Spaling 53.4%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 62.3%
62.3%
37.7%
Spaling
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
6
(23 meetings)
17
6
Spaling
Berglund
Last 10: Spaling 7-3 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
3
Spaling
Berglund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
12
3
Spaling
Berglund
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
0
Spaling
Berglund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (756)
48.3% (895)
+1.4%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
50.4% (141)
-15.1%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (120)
48.3% (120)
+6.7%
On power play, Berglund has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Spaling is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Spaling shoots left. Berglund is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Spaling
Berglund
Home
52.1% (476)
50.9% (593)
Away
47.8% (418)
46.1% (575)
By Period
Spaling
Berglund
P1
50.4%
50.9%
P2
51.3%
45.3%
P3
48.5%
50.8%
OT
60.0%
39.1%
Final 5 min
54.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 12:12 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 2 | 01:11 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 15:40 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 06:59 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 1 | 04:02 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 11:11 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 2 | 00:53 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Dec 17, 2011 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 16:52 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 16:18 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 2 | 03:29 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 1 | 19:12 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |