Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 46.3%). Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 46.9% vs Berglund 46.8% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Berglund 58.6%
Defensive zone
Berglund 51.4%
Neutral zone
Spaling 51.3%
Result
Patrik Berglund favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Spaling
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
5
(18 meetings)
13
5
Spaling
Berglund
Last 10: Spaling 6-4 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
4
Spaling
Berglund
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
5
1
Spaling
Berglund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
6
0
Spaling
Berglund
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (419)
46.3% (490)
+2.1%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
52.4% (63)
-22.4%
Penalty Kill
32.1% (53)
38.0% (50)
-5.9%
On power play, Berglund has a +22.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Spaling is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Spaling shoots left. Berglund is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (428).
Home / Away
Spaling
Berglund
Home
52.2% (251)
49.8% (295)
Away
39.8% (231)
42.9% (308)
By Period
Spaling
Berglund
P1
40.6%
47.5%
P2
43.9%
46.4%
P3
54.3%
45.7%
OT
33.3%
20.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
46.3%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2013 | 3 | 00:34 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 2 | 04:15 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 08:50 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 08:41 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Apr 9, 2013 | 1 | 00:27 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Feb 5, 2013 | 2 | 01:01 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 12:44 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 08:42 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 06:16 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 11:50 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 09:10 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 21, 2013 | 1 | 03:43 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |