Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Stastny 55.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 16-13 in 29 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 54.6%
Defensive zone
Spaling 70.4%
Neutral zone
Spaling 62.2%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Spaling
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
16
(29 meetings)
13
16
Spaling
Stastny
Last 10: Spaling 5-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
8
Spaling
Stastny
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
6
2
Spaling
Stastny
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
5
6
Spaling
Stastny
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.1%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
59.1% (1,994)
-15.7%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.9%
On power play, Stastny has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Spaling shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Spaling
Stastny
Home
51.9% (1,437)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Spaling
Stastny
P1
49.8%
56.3%
P2
48.3%
55.4%
P3
52.0%
53.5%
OT
40.0%
62.9%
Final 5 min
51.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 16:25 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 22, 2016 | 2 | 01:13 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 17:14 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 3 | 13:14 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 19:17 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 2 | 08:57 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 5, 2015 | 1 | 13:27 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 2 | 08:41 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2015 | 1 | 00:36 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 4, 2013 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 19:44 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 2 | 17:31 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 18, 2013 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 8, 2012 | 3 | 04:00 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 16:17 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 04:18 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |