Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Varone 47.7% (+2.6%)
Offensive zone
Varone 52.8%
Defensive zone
Spaling 57.4%
Neutral zone
Spaling 51.3%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Spaling
Varone
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Varone
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
47.5% (575)
+3.0%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
38.5% (13)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
50.0% (2)
-2.0%
On power play, Spaling has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Varone shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Spaling shoots left. Varone is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (365).
Home / Away
Spaling
Varone
Home
51.9% (1,437)
48.0% (221)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
46.9% (369)
By Period
Spaling
Varone
P1
49.8%
50.0%
P2
48.3%
42.7%
P3
52.0%
50.0%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Varone
40.0%▼
50.5%
47.3%