Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Nash 48.5% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nash 60.5%
Defensive zone
Nash 58.0%
Neutral zone
Nash 58.7%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 59.1%
40.9%
59.1%
Spaling
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Spaling
Nash
Last 6: Spaling 2-4 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Spaling
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Nash
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
48.7% (4,621)
+1.8%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
51.0% (249)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
44.9% (550)
+3.1%
On power play, Nash has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Spaling shoots left. Nash is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,747).
Home / Away
Spaling
Nash
Home
51.9% (1,437)
50.2% (2,740)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
46.7% (2,681)
By Period
Spaling
Nash
P1
49.8%
49.0%
P2
48.3%
47.9%
P3
52.0%
48.0%
OT
40.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
51.3%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Dec 5, 2013 | 2 | 11:51 | Neutral | Riley Nash |