Scouting Report
Riley Nash holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Spaling wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Nash shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 48.9% vs Nash 50.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 53.8%
Defensive zone
Nash 60.6%
Neutral zone
Spaling 51.3%
Result
Riley Nash favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Spaling
Nash
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Spaling
Nash
Last 5: Spaling 2-3 Nash
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Nash
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nash
0
2
Spaling
Nash
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
0
Spaling
Nash
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Nash
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (155)
50.1% (752)
-3.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
53.8% (104)
-3.8%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (15)
53.9% (102)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nash shoots right. Spaling is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (59).
Spaling shoots left. Nash is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (647).
Home / Away
Spaling
Nash
Home
47.2% (108)
51.0% (502)
Away
50.0% (66)
50.9% (456)
By Period
Spaling
Nash
P1
43.6%
49.4%
P2
41.9%
50.9%
P3
59.3%
52.1%
OT
66.7%
63.6%
Final 5 min
45.7%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
48.3%
Nash
48.0%▼
49.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Riley Nash |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 05:09 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 31, 2014 | 2 | 05:01 | Defensive | Riley Nash |
| Nov 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:44 | Defensive | Riley Nash |