Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Horak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Horak 43.9% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 64.5%
Defensive zone
Spaling 74.4%
Neutral zone
Spaling 73.5%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Spaling
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Spaling
Horak
Last 10: Spaling 6-4 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
1
Spaling
Horak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horak
0
3
Spaling
Horak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
4
1
Spaling
Horak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
41.8% (594)
+8.7%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
51.4% (37)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
57.9% (19)
-9.9%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Spaling shoots left. Horak is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (417).
Home / Away
Spaling
Horak
Home
51.9% (1,437)
43.7% (325)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
42.2% (327)
By Period
Spaling
Horak
P1
49.8%
42.4%
P2
48.3%
44.2%
P3
52.0%
42.6%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 1, 2012 | 3 | 19:30 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 01:57 | Offensive | Roman Horak |
| Nov 29, 2011 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |