Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.3% vs 45.4%). Look for Horak on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 46.9% vs Horak 46.9% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 56.3%
Defensive zone
Horak 54.5%
Neutral zone
Spaling 57.3%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Spaling
Horak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Spaling
Horak
Last 9: Spaling 5-4 Horak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
0
Spaling
Horak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horak
0
3
Spaling
Horak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
1
Spaling
Horak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Horak
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (419)
44.4% (189)
+4.0%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
45.5% (11)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
32.1% (53)
80.0% (5)
-47.9%
On penalty kill, Horak has a +47.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horak shoots left. Spaling is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Spaling shoots left. Horak is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (135).
Home / Away
Spaling
Horak
Home
52.2% (251)
49.5% (93)
Away
39.8% (231)
42.0% (112)
By Period
Spaling
Horak
P1
40.6%
41.7%
P2
43.9%
51.5%
P3
54.3%
44.6%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.4%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
46.3%
Horak
38.0%▼
46.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 03:17 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 16:38 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 16:31 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:12 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 07:06 | Neutral | Roman Horak |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 14:50 | Defensive | Roman Horak |
| Apr 23, 2013 | 1 | 06:53 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |