Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Kesler 55.9% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 25-17 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 81.0%
Defensive zone
Spaling 74.0%
Neutral zone
Spaling 79.7%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Spaling
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
25
(42 meetings)
17
25
Spaling
Kesler
Last 10: Spaling 6-4 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
13
Spaling
Kesler
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
11
4
Spaling
Kesler
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
8
Spaling
Kesler
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
56.4% (8,095)
-5.9%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
60.7% (1,437)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
50.5% (1,908)
-2.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Spaling shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Spaling
Kesler
Home
51.9% (1,437)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Spaling
Kesler
P1
49.8%
56.5%
P2
48.3%
55.9%
P3
52.0%
56.1%
OT
40.0%
46.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2014 | 1 | 05:51 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 23, 2014 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 3 | 13:19 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 3, 2013 | 2 | 10:26 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 11:37 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 06:08 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 15, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 3 | 16:51 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 13:34 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 22, 2013 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 16:20 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 21, 2012 | 2 | 14:14 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 11:33 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 3 | 11:48 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 1, 2011 | 2 | 08:34 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |