Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 50.8% vs Kesler 57.0% (-6.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 68.6%
Defensive zone
Spaling 73.0%
Neutral zone
Spaling 66.8%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 69.6%
69.6%
30.4%
Spaling
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
10
(14 meetings)
4
10
Spaling
Kesler
Last 10: Spaling 1-9 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
6
Spaling
Kesler
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Spaling
Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
2
Spaling
Kesler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (353)
57.3% (1,022)
-5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
61.5% (200)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (136)
54.9% (257)
-5.6%
On power play, Kesler has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Spaling is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (166).
Spaling shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Spaling
Kesler
Home
49.2% (260)
58.6% (766)
Away
52.7% (237)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Spaling
Kesler
P1
55.2%
58.9%
P2
49.7%
56.8%
P3
47.7%
57.5%
OT
33.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
50.8%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.9%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 13:02 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 29, 2011 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 12:16 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 12:00 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 3, 2011 | 1 | 14:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 3 | 06:34 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2011 | 2 | 08:30 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 3 | 03:03 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 12:53 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 11:36 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 07:31 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 26, 2011 | 2 | 00:30 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |