Nick Spaling vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on offensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 12-4 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 60.6%
Defensive zone
Spaling 88.1%
Neutral zone
Spaling 77.5%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Spaling
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
4
(16 meetings)
12
4
Spaling
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: Spaling 7-3 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
7
3
Spaling
Nugent-Hopkins
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
0
Spaling
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
1
Spaling
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
44.9% (8,756)
+5.6%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
50.7% (839)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
37.9% (879)
+10.1%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Spaling shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
Spaling
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.9% (1,437)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
Spaling
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
49.8%
45.1%
P2
48.3%
43.9%
P3
52.0%
45.3%
OT
40.0%
43.5%
Final 5 min
51.3%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2015 | 2 | 16:32 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 30, 2015 | 1 | 18:55 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 12, 2015 | 1 | 17:46 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 12:15 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 18:19 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 2 | 02:20 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Oct 17, 2011 | 1 | 08:15 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |