Nick Spaling vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2012-13 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 46.9% vs Nugent-Hopkins 42.4% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 65.2%
Defensive zone
Spaling 75.6%
Neutral zone
Spaling 84.9%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
Spaling
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Spaling
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: Spaling 7-1 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
5
0
Spaling
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
1
Spaling
Nugent-Hopkins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (419)
39.8% (508)
+8.6%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
60.5% (38)
-30.5%
Penalty Kill
32.1% (53)
20.0% (5)
+12.1%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +30.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. Spaling is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Spaling shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 40.5% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Spaling
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.2% (251)
42.6% (237)
Away
39.8% (231)
39.8% (314)
By Period
Spaling
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
40.6%
33.3%
P2
43.9%
45.1%
P3
54.3%
44.6%
OT
33.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
40.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
46.3%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 12:15 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 07:07 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 01:56 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 1 | 01:35 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |