Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Spooner on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Spooner 43.6% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spooner 80.4%
Defensive zone
Spaling 76.8%
Neutral zone
Spooner 55.8%
Result
Ryan Spooner favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Spaling
Spooner
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Spaling
Spooner
Last 9: Spaling 4-5 Spooner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spooner
1
2
Spaling
Spooner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Spooner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Spaling
Spooner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Spooner
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
43.1% (1,540)
+7.4%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
46.3% (67)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
42.1% (19)
+5.9%
On even strength, Spaling has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spooner shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Spaling shoots left. Spooner is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Spaling
Spooner
Home
51.9% (1,437)
43.9% (779)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
42.6% (847)
By Period
Spaling
Spooner
P1
49.8%
45.0%
P2
48.3%
46.2%
P3
52.0%
38.2%
OT
40.0%
35.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Spooner
50.0%▲
44.0%
43.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 10:15 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 3 | 03:29 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 06:06 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 2 | 02:30 | Neutral | Ryan Spooner |
| Feb 2, 2016 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | Ryan Spooner |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 10:58 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |