Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Koivu 51.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Koivu leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 56.9%
Defensive zone
Koivu 50.5%
Neutral zone
Spaling 56.6%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Spaling
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Spaling
Koivu
Last 10: Spaling 3-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Spaling
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Koivu
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
4
Spaling
Koivu
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
51.9% (3,221)
-1.4%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
59.3% (437)
-15.9%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
48.0% (764)
+0.0%
On power play, Koivu has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Spaling shoots left. Koivu is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,153).
Home / Away
Spaling
Koivu
Home
51.9% (1,437)
53.5% (2,281)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
50.1% (2,209)
By Period
Spaling
Koivu
P1
49.8%
51.1%
P2
48.3%
52.6%
P3
52.0%
51.8%
OT
40.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 2013 | 1 | 03:22 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 26, 2013 | 2 | 18:56 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 3 | 15:13 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 2 | 18:12 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 05:02 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 04:47 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 18, 2012 | 1 | 01:40 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 3 | 19:29 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 24, 2011 | 1 | 02:04 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Jan 5, 2011 | 2 | 02:14 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |