Scouting Report
Scott Nichol holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 50.1% vs Nichol 56.2% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nichol 57.1%
Defensive zone
Nichol 60.0%
Neutral zone
Nichol 67.4%
Result
Scott Nichol favored at 62.9%
37.1%
62.9%
Spaling
Nichol
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Spaling
Nichol
Last 8: Spaling 5-3 Nichol
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Nichol
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Nichol
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
1
Spaling
Nichol
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Nichol
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (756)
58.0% (371)
-8.3%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
25.0% (4)
+10.3%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (120)
57.3% (75)
-2.3%
On power play, Spaling has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nichol shoots right. Spaling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (317).
Spaling shoots left. Nichol is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (311).
Home / Away
Spaling
Nichol
Home
52.1% (476)
58.6% (215)
Away
47.8% (418)
56.6% (235)
By Period
Spaling
Nichol
P1
50.4%
56.1%
P2
51.3%
58.4%
P3
48.5%
57.8%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
54.0%
62.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Nichol
46.0%▼
60.0%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2012 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 23, 2012 | 1 | 19:34 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 4, 2012 | 2 | 13:09 | Offensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 3 | 06:07 | Defensive | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 1 | 13:40 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 1 | 11:15 | Neutral | Scott Nichol |
| Dec 17, 2011 | 3 | 12:32 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |