Scouting Report
Nick Spaling holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Spaling on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 51.2% vs Stamkos 50.0% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 11-2 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Stamkos 57.2%
Defensive zone
Spaling 74.2%
Neutral zone
Spaling 70.4%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 60.9%
60.9%
39.1%
Spaling
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
2
(13 meetings)
11
2
Spaling
Stamkos
Last 10: Spaling 8-2 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
5
0
Spaling
Stamkos
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
1
Spaling
Stamkos
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spaling
3
1
Spaling
Stamkos
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (461)
49.9% (771)
+2.6%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
55.4% (74)
+11.3%
Penalty Kill
46.6% (131)
45.1% (82)
+1.5%
On power play, Spaling has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Spaling is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (245).
Spaling shoots left. Stamkos is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (653).
Home / Away
Spaling
Stamkos
Home
57.2% (297)
50.7% (487)
Away
45.7% (304)
49.1% (440)
By Period
Spaling
Stamkos
P1
54.2%
46.1%
P2
46.6%
52.0%
P3
54.3%
51.1%
OT
25.0%
54.5%
Final 5 min
56.1%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.4%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2016 | 2 | 01:58 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Jan 27, 2016 | 1 | 17:32 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 13:24 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 13:21 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 09:41 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 15:42 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 15:33 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 2 | 00:19 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 10:40 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 06:37 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:22 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |