Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Spaling wins 58.5% vs right-shot opponents — Zajac shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 51.7% vs Zajac 54.3% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zajac 69.7%
Defensive zone
Zajac 53.5%
Neutral zone
Zajac 75.4%
Result
Travis Zajac favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Spaling
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Spaling
Zajac
Last 5: Spaling 4-1 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
0
Spaling
Zajac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
0
Spaling
Zajac
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Zajac
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (119)
55.7% (1,020)
+0.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
52.7% (201)
-12.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
50.3% (173)
-6.1%
On power play, Zajac has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Spaling is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (65).
Spaling shoots left. Zajac is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
Spaling
Zajac
Home
40.0% (45)
54.9% (685)
Away
57.4% (122)
54.3% (709)
By Period
Spaling
Zajac
P1
47.1%
54.6%
P2
52.2%
55.5%
P3
61.4%
54.2%
OT
33.3%
48.0%
Final 5 min
56.5%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 19:04 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 10, 2013 | 1 | 19:58 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |