Scouting Report
Tyler Seguin holds a +3.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Seguin on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 49.9% vs Seguin 53.6% (-3.7%)
H2H factor
Seguin leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 63.2%
Defensive zone
Spaling 64.3%
Neutral zone
Spaling 62.6%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Spaling
Seguin
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
13
(19 meetings)
6
13
Spaling
Seguin
Last 10: Spaling 3-7 Seguin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Seguin
2
5
Spaling
Seguin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Spaling
Seguin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Seguin
3
7
Spaling
Seguin
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Seguin
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (2,263)
53.7% (8,071)
-3.2%
Power Play
43.4% (53)
55.9% (810)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (498)
49.3% (762)
-1.3%
On power play, Seguin has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Seguin shoots right. Spaling is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (980).
Spaling shoots left. Seguin is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (6,798).
Home / Away
Spaling
Seguin
Home
51.9% (1,437)
55.9% (4,759)
Away
47.8% (1,378)
51.4% (4,885)
By Period
Spaling
Seguin
P1
49.8%
52.8%
P2
48.3%
53.3%
P3
52.0%
54.7%
OT
40.0%
54.7%
Final 5 min
51.3%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Seguin
42.0%▼
54.0%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 16:32 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 05:39 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 3 | 03:20 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 2 | 19:26 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 18:38 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 10, 2015 | 1 | 08:25 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 15:32 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 3 | 00:10 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 12:45 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 06:00 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 05:55 | Offensive | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 05:52 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tyler Seguin |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 1 | 09:22 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 2, 2015 | 1 | 05:27 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |