Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.1% vs 50.9%). Look for Fiddler on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 50.1% vs Fiddler 50.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spaling 68.3%
Defensive zone
Fiddler 55.2%
Neutral zone
Spaling 51.6%
Result
Vernon Fiddler favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Spaling
Fiddler
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Spaling
Fiddler
Last 7: Spaling 2-5 Fiddler
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Fiddler
2
3
Spaling
Fiddler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Fiddler
0
2
Spaling
Fiddler
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Fiddler
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (756)
51.3% (840)
-1.6%
Power Play
35.3% (17)
60.0% (15)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (120)
47.8% (186)
+7.2%
On power play, Fiddler has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Fiddler shoots left. Spaling is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (577).
Spaling shoots left. Fiddler is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Home / Away
Spaling
Fiddler
Home
52.1% (476)
53.0% (530)
Away
47.8% (418)
48.7% (519)
By Period
Spaling
Fiddler
P1
50.4%
53.3%
P2
51.3%
50.4%
P3
48.5%
48.2%
OT
60.0%
85.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.1%
Fiddler
54.0%▼
58.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 15:44 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 00:27 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 10:28 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 10:49 | Defensive | Vernon Fiddler |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 1 | 01:43 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |