Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 51.6%). Look for Sobotka on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Spaling 50.8% vs Sobotka 51.3% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sobotka 58.9%
Defensive zone
Spaling 55.2%
Neutral zone
Spaling 54.4%
Result
Nick Spaling favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Spaling
Sobotka
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Spaling
Sobotka
Last 7: Spaling 2-5 Sobotka
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
1
0
Spaling
Sobotka
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sobotka
0
3
Spaling
Sobotka
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sobotka
1
2
Spaling
Sobotka
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Spaling
Sobotka
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (353)
55.4% (323)
-3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (8)
42.9% (28)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (136)
38.5% (65)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Spaling has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sobotka shoots left. Spaling is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (331).
Spaling shoots left. Sobotka is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Spaling
Sobotka
Home
49.2% (260)
52.1% (213)
Away
52.7% (237)
51.0% (206)
By Period
Spaling
Sobotka
P1
55.2%
51.2%
P2
49.7%
49.0%
P3
47.7%
54.0%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.8%
53.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.9%
Sobotka
50.0%▼
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 16:22 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 02:27 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 3 | 07:42 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 09:29 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 24, 2010 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Nov 11, 2010 | 3 | 04:40 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |
| Oct 28, 2010 | 3 | 05:21 | Neutral | Vladimir Sobotka |