Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Benn wins 54.7% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 59.1% vs Suzuki 47.5% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 86.8%
Defensive zone
Benn 65.8%
Neutral zone
Benn 77.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 80.3%
80.3%
19.7%
Benn
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Benn
Suzuki
Last 8: Benn 7-1 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
4
1
Benn
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
0
Benn
Suzuki
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
1
0
Benn
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (584)
47.0% (1,066)
+14.8%
Power Play
56.7% (224)
49.5% (204)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
56.1% (57)
46.6% (131)
+9.5%
On even strength, Benn has a +14.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Benn shoots left. Suzuki is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,005).
Home / Away
Benn
Suzuki
Home
64.4% (433)
49.4% (686)
Away
55.8% (432)
45.3% (715)
By Period
Benn
Suzuki
P1
61.8%
45.6%
P2
59.6%
46.9%
P3
59.2%
49.8%
OT
55.6%
38.1%
Final 5 min
62.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2022 | 3 | 16:14 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:26 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 07:28 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 23, 2022 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:26 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 12:26 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |