Scouting Report
Paul Cotter holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suzuki 49.3% vs Cotter 51.1% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 51.5%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 64.9%
Neutral zone
Cotter 51.1%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
Suzuki
Cotter
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Suzuki
Cotter
Last 5: Suzuki 4-1 Cotter
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
1
Suzuki
Cotter
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
2
0
Suzuki
Cotter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suzuki
Cotter
Edge
Even Strength
49.4% (6,327)
50.6% (243)
-1.2%
Power Play
50.7% (1,338)
64.3% (14)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
43.6% (456)
100.0% (1)
-56.4%
On penalty kill, Cotter has a +56.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cotter shoots left. Suzuki is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (5,913).
Suzuki shoots right. Cotter is 46.8% vs right-shot opponents (109).
Home / Away
Suzuki
Cotter
Home
51.0% (3,997)
51.8% (141)
Away
47.6% (4,124)
51.3% (117)
By Period
Suzuki
Cotter
P1
48.8%
54.4%
P2
49.1%
44.4%
P3
50.2%
55.1%
Final 5 min
49.0%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.3%
Cotter
56.0%▲
53.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 13:03 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 12:56 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:26 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 11:49 | Defensive | Paul Cotter |