Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Mair on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mair 50.5% vs Backstrom 52.3% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 66.3%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 52.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 55.3%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Mair
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Mair
Backstrom
Last 5: Mair 3-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Mair
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Mair
3
1
Mair
Backstrom
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mair
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
51.0% (104)
52.1% (940)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
55.4% (83)
-5.4%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Mair is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Mair shoots right. Backstrom is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Home / Away
Mair
Backstrom
Home
54.7% (53)
53.6% (638)
Away
47.5% (59)
51.4% (677)
By Period
Mair
Backstrom
P1
47.5%
54.8%
P2
56.3%
50.5%
P3
45.8%
52.0%
Final 5 min
69.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mair
58.0%▲
50.9%
50.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 15:36 | Neutral | Adam Mair |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 11:22 | Neutral | Adam Mair |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Mair |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |