Adrian Kempe vs Nicklas Backstrom
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 42.3% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.5% vs Backstrom 48.7% (-6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 78.4%
Defensive zone
Kempe 75.5%
Neutral zone
Kempe 76.4%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 76.3%
76.3%
23.7%
Kempe
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kempe
Backstrom
Last 6: Kempe 1-5 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Kempe
Backstrom
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
3
Kempe
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
42.6% (671)
48.5% (1,151)
-5.9%
Power Play
42.0% (50)
50.0% (176)
-8.0%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
48.2% (112)
-3.8%
On power play, Backstrom has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Kempe is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (487).
Kempe shoots left. Backstrom is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Kempe
Backstrom
Home
43.6% (369)
50.8% (783)
Away
41.6% (370)
46.0% (656)
By Period
Kempe
Backstrom
P1
40.0%
49.3%
P2
44.3%
46.6%
P3
43.6%
50.1%
OT
37.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
43.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
42.6%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2019 | 3 | 13:00 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 08:37 | Neutral | Adrian Kempe |
| Feb 18, 2019 | 2 | 01:18 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 10:25 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 11, 2019 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |