Alexander Kerfoot vs Nicklas Backstrom
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Alexander Kerfoot holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Kerfoot on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kerfoot wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kerfoot 55.0% vs Backstrom 48.7% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kerfoot 66.3%
Defensive zone
Kerfoot 54.0%
Neutral zone
Kerfoot 59.0%
Result
Alexander Kerfoot favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Kerfoot
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kerfoot
Backstrom
Last 5: Kerfoot 3-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kerfoot
2
1
Kerfoot
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kerfoot
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kerfoot
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (457)
48.5% (1,151)
+8.0%
Power Play
53.3% (30)
50.0% (176)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
48.2% (112)
-48.2%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Kerfoot is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (305).
Kerfoot shoots left. Backstrom is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (889).
Home / Away
Kerfoot
Backstrom
Home
60.8% (237)
50.8% (783)
Away
51.6% (252)
46.0% (656)
By Period
Kerfoot
Backstrom
P1
56.8%
49.3%
P2
50.9%
46.6%
P3
60.0%
50.1%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
49.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kerfoot
52.0%▼
53.5%
56.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 02:12 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Alexander Kerfoot |
| Nov 16, 2018 | 2 | 11:27 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |