Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Shaw on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shaw 50.1% vs Backstrom 53.4% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 59.5%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 76.2%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 61.8%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Shaw
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Shaw
Backstrom
Last 7: Shaw 5-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Shaw
3
0
Shaw
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Shaw
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Shaw
1
0
Shaw
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shaw
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (685)
54.1% (1,314)
-3.9%
Power Play
45.5% (22)
56.2% (169)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
44.4% (126)
+15.6%
On penalty kill, Shaw has a +15.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Shaw is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Shaw shoots right. Backstrom is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (606).
Home / Away
Shaw
Backstrom
Home
51.0% (361)
57.7% (799)
Away
49.3% (351)
49.5% (810)
By Period
Shaw
Backstrom
P1
48.8%
54.7%
P2
49.5%
51.7%
P3
52.1%
54.2%
OT
50.0%
58.1%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shaw
52.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2015 | 3 | 11:15 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Jan 1, 2015 | 3 | 11:02 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 1, 2015 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 1, 2015 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 14:02 | Neutral | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 13:53 | Defensive | Andrew Shaw |
| Nov 7, 2014 | 3 | 06:01 | Offensive | Andrew Shaw |