Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Flynn 47.8% vs Backstrom 51.3% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Flynn 56.3%
Defensive zone
Flynn 85.6%
Neutral zone
Flynn 66.9%
Result
Brian Flynn favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Flynn
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Flynn
Backstrom
Last 5: Flynn 1-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Flynn
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Flynn
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Flynn
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Flynn
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (102)
52.5% (1,108)
-2.5%
Power Play
75.0% (4)
52.4% (164)
+22.6%
Penalty Kill
34.9% (43)
27.9% (61)
+7.0%
On power play, Flynn has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Flynn is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Flynn shoots right. Backstrom is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Flynn
Backstrom
Home
52.1% (71)
52.5% (642)
Away
41.0% (78)
50.4% (691)
By Period
Flynn
Backstrom
P1
45.1%
50.2%
P2
40.0%
51.4%
P3
51.7%
53.0%
Final 5 min
34.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Flynn
32.0%▼
50.5%
46.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2017 | 2 | 16:07 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 15:48 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 13:35 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 17, 2016 | 2 | 00:23 | Defensive | Brian Flynn |