Calle Jarnkrok vs Nicklas Backstrom
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Calle Jarnkrok holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Jarnkrok wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jarnkrok 50.1% vs Backstrom 48.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 52.2%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 63.4%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 52.2%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Jarnkrok
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Jarnkrok
Backstrom
Last 5: Jarnkrok 2-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Jarnkrok
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Jarnkrok
Backstrom
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jarnkrok
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (301)
48.5% (1,151)
+2.0%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
50.0% (176)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (16)
48.2% (112)
-4.4%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Jarnkrok is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Jarnkrok shoots right. Backstrom is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Jarnkrok
Backstrom
Home
53.8% (210)
50.8% (783)
Away
43.8% (121)
46.0% (656)
By Period
Jarnkrok
Backstrom
P1
48.7%
49.3%
P2
54.0%
46.6%
P3
47.6%
50.1%
Final 5 min
44.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jarnkrok
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2019 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 3 | 13:50 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 18:11 | Neutral | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 2 | 04:53 | Offensive | Calle Jarnkrok |
| Dec 31, 2018 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |