Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Shore 48.3% vs Backstrom 51.3% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Shore 74.2%
Defensive zone
Shore 53.9%
Neutral zone
Shore 60.9%
Result
Drew Shore favored at 65.0%
65.0%
35.0%
Shore
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Shore
Backstrom
Last 8: Shore 3-5 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
Shore
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Shore
Backstrom
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Shore
Backstrom
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Shore
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
47.4% (386)
51.2% (654)
-3.8%
Power Play
52.6% (38)
50.9% (110)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (19)
53.9% (76)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Shore is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Shore shoots right. Backstrom is 49.3% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Shore
Backstrom
Home
48.7% (232)
52.0% (400)
Away
46.9% (211)
50.9% (440)
By Period
Shore
Backstrom
P1
49.3%
51.6%
P2
48.1%
51.1%
P3
46.3%
50.7%
OT
50.0%
65.0%
Final 5 min
43.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Shore
42.0%▼
48.0%
47.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 05:51 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 02:10 | Offensive | Drew Shore |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 01:55 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 13:47 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 06:25 | Neutral | Drew Shore |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 07:14 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 9, 2013 | 3 | 03:49 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |