Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Staal 51.1% vs Backstrom 53.4% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Backstrom leads 13-4 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 72.6%
Defensive zone
Staal 59.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 63.0%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Staal
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
13
(17 meetings)
4
13
Staal
Backstrom
Last 10: Staal 2-8 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Staal
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
5
Staal
Backstrom
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
6
Staal
Backstrom
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Staal
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (514)
54.1% (1,314)
-5.3%
Power Play
59.2% (147)
56.2% (169)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
44.4% (126)
+18.1%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Staal is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (405).
Staal shoots left. Backstrom is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Staal
Backstrom
Home
57.8% (277)
57.7% (799)
Away
46.7% (392)
49.5% (810)
By Period
Staal
Backstrom
P1
50.0%
54.7%
P2
51.2%
51.7%
P3
53.4%
54.2%
OT
37.5%
58.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
51.3%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
53.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2015 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 17:06 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 31, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 27, 2015 | 1 | 15:57 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 3 | 03:19 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 03:31 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 4, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 8, 2014 | OT | 04:05 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 8, 2014 | OT | 01:24 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 8, 2014 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Eric Staal |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 02:54 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |