Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Eichel wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 47.2% vs Backstrom 48.7% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 51.8%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 64.0%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 55.4%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Eichel
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Eichel
Backstrom
Last 9: Eichel 6-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
1
Eichel
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Eichel
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
4
0
Eichel
Backstrom
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
45.6% (1,023)
48.5% (1,151)
-2.9%
Power Play
55.8% (197)
50.0% (176)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (50)
48.2% (112)
-6.2%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Eichel is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Eichel shoots right. Backstrom is 45.5% vs right-shot opponents (550).
Home / Away
Eichel
Backstrom
Home
45.4% (604)
50.8% (783)
Away
48.5% (666)
46.0% (656)
By Period
Eichel
Backstrom
P1
48.3%
49.3%
P2
49.6%
46.6%
P3
43.8%
50.1%
OT
45.9%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.0%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 23, 2019 | 3 | 18:03 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:28 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 3 | 18:07 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 18:13 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 13:59 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 13:50 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 2 | 11:17 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 21, 2018 | 1 | 14:00 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |