Joe Thornton vs Nicklas Backstrom
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.9% vs 51.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Thornton 50.8% vs Backstrom 51.3% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 58.9%
Defensive zone
Thornton 52.4%
Neutral zone
Thornton 55.4%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 55.6%
55.6%
44.4%
Thornton
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Thornton
Backstrom
Last 5: Thornton 1-4 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Thornton
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
2
Thornton
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Thornton
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Thornton
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
49.8% (544)
52.5% (1,108)
-2.7%
Power Play
54.5% (178)
52.4% (164)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (15)
27.9% (61)
+18.8%
On penalty kill, Thornton has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Thornton is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (414).
Thornton shoots left. Backstrom is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Thornton
Backstrom
Home
54.9% (355)
52.5% (642)
Away
47.1% (382)
50.4% (691)
By Period
Thornton
Backstrom
P1
46.0%
50.2%
P2
52.5%
51.4%
P3
55.6%
53.0%
OT
33.3%
41.2%
Final 5 min
46.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
50.9%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 11:41 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 05:55 | Offensive | Joe Thornton |
| Mar 9, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 2 | 19:35 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 8, 2016 | 1 | 14:09 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |