Jonathan Marchessault vs Nicklas Backstrom
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Marchessault wins 43.2% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Marchessault 46.5% vs Backstrom 51.3% (-6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marchessault 70.1%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 63.9%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 52.2%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Marchessault
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Marchessault
Backstrom
Last 6: Marchessault 3-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marchessault
2
0
Marchessault
Backstrom
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
3
Marchessault
Backstrom
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Marchessault
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (181)
52.5% (1,108)
-5.0%
Power Play
39.5% (86)
52.4% (164)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
66.7% (3)
27.9% (61)
+38.8%
On penalty kill, Marchessault has a +38.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Marchessault is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (199).
Marchessault shoots right. Backstrom is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Marchessault
Backstrom
Home
48.5% (136)
52.5% (642)
Away
41.8% (134)
50.4% (691)
By Period
Marchessault
Backstrom
P1
54.8%
50.2%
P2
43.9%
51.4%
P3
39.1%
53.0%
OT
42.9%
41.2%
Final 5 min
47.4%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Marchessault
32.0%▬
32.0%
45.2%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 16:00 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 04:22 | Defensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 2 | 01:38 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |
| Oct 20, 2016 | 1 | 00:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Marchessault |