Michael McCarron vs Nicklas Backstrom
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCarron 53.4% vs Backstrom 46.9% (+8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 68.1%
Defensive zone
McCarron 88.5%
Neutral zone
McCarron 75.4%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 62.4%
62.4%
37.6%
McCarron
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McCarron
Backstrom
Last 8: McCarron 5-3 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
2
McCarron
Backstrom
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
0
McCarron
Backstrom
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
2
1
McCarron
Backstrom
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCarron
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (308)
47.0% (541)
+10.5%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
47.4% (95)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
15.4% (13)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, McCarron has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McCarron shoots right. Backstrom is 41.0% vs right-shot opponents (244).
Home / Away
McCarron
Backstrom
Home
48.3% (147)
48.5% (328)
Away
58.7% (206)
44.2% (321)
By Period
McCarron
Backstrom
P1
53.4%
44.8%
P2
59.5%
42.9%
P3
50.0%
50.9%
Final 5 min
54.8%
47.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
54.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2022 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 3 | 10:33 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 17:06 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 11:39 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 2 | 07:53 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 13:11 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 29, 2021 | 1 | 05:00 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |