Mikhail Grigorenko vs Nicklas Backstrom
2016-17 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikhail Grigorenko holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Grigorenko on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Grigorenko wins 57.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Grigorenko 55.1% vs Backstrom 51.3% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Grigorenko 53.8%
Defensive zone
Grigorenko 59.4%
Neutral zone
Grigorenko 52.9%
Result
Mikhail Grigorenko favored at 57.0%
57.0%
43.0%
Grigorenko
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Grigorenko
Backstrom
Last 5: Grigorenko 3-2 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
0
1
Grigorenko
Backstrom
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
2
1
Grigorenko
Backstrom
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grigorenko
1
0
Grigorenko
Backstrom
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Grigorenko
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (157)
52.5% (1,108)
+2.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
52.4% (164)
-12.4%
Penalty Kill
76.7% (30)
27.9% (61)
+48.8%
On penalty kill, Grigorenko has a +48.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Grigorenko is 57.8% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Grigorenko shoots left. Backstrom is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (828).
Home / Away
Grigorenko
Backstrom
Home
64.4% (118)
52.5% (642)
Away
47.3% (74)
50.4% (691)
By Period
Grigorenko
Backstrom
P1
54.2%
50.2%
P2
55.6%
51.4%
P3
63.9%
53.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Grigorenko
54.0%▼
55.5%
57.8%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 17:11 | Neutral | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 07:29 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 04:06 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Mikhail Grigorenko |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 17:51 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |