Nicklas Backstrom vs Paul Stastny
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 32 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.5% vs Stastny 55.1% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 54-39 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 68.6%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 80.4%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 70.4%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Backstrom
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
39
-
54
(93 meetings)
39
54
Backstrom
Stastny
Last 10: Backstrom 6-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
22
9
Backstrom
Stastny
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
9
21
Backstrom
Stastny
30 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
8
24
Backstrom
Stastny
32 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (11,581)
54.6% (10,616)
-4.2%
Power Play
52.3% (1,895)
59.1% (1,994)
-6.8%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (889)
52.9% (1,119)
-5.9%
On power play, Stastny has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Backstrom shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Stastny
Home
52.6% (7,223)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
48.4% (7,173)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Backstrom
Stastny
P1
50.1%
56.3%
P2
49.7%
55.4%
P3
51.6%
53.5%
OT
52.9%
62.9%
Final 5 min
50.5%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2023 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 18:45 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 04:15 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 12, 2018 | 1 | 03:53 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 06:13 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 05:41 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 03:47 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 09:35 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 7, 2018 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |