Nicklas Backstrom vs Paul Stastny
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 49.3% vs Stastny 54.4% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 74.9%
Defensive zone
Stastny 71.7%
Neutral zone
Stastny 70.2%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 72.6%
27.4%
72.6%
Backstrom
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Backstrom
Stastny
Last 9: Backstrom 6-3 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
1
Backstrom
Stastny
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
2
Backstrom
Stastny
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (854)
53.6% (859)
-3.6%
Power Play
44.6% (148)
59.9% (202)
-15.3%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (46)
55.1% (78)
-5.1%
On power play, Stastny has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Backstrom is 50.2% vs left-shot opponents (675).
Backstrom shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Stastny
Home
52.2% (506)
56.9% (596)
Away
46.5% (542)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Backstrom
Stastny
P1
45.3%
53.9%
P2
46.9%
56.2%
P3
55.5%
54.4%
OT
50.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
47.6%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
49.2%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 19:37 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 16:39 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 17, 2020 | 1 | 16:34 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 3 | 13:43 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 9, 2019 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |