Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.8%). Look for Pelley on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Backstrom wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Pelley shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 52.3% vs Pelley 52.1% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 81.3%
Defensive zone
Pelley 70.1%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 52.6%
Result
Rod Pelley favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Backstrom
Pelley
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Backstrom
Pelley
Last 8: Backstrom 5-3 Pelley
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
0
Backstrom
Pelley
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pelley
1
3
Backstrom
Pelley
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
0
Backstrom
Pelley
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Pelley
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (940)
53.4% (208)
-1.3%
Power Play
51.3% (267)
50.0% (4)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (83)
50.5% (103)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pelley shoots left. Backstrom is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (768).
Backstrom shoots left. Pelley is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (201).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Pelley
Home
53.6% (638)
55.1% (127)
Away
51.4% (677)
51.3% (193)
By Period
Backstrom
Pelley
P1
54.8%
56.0%
P2
50.5%
49.6%
P3
52.0%
53.0%
OT
59.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.5%
Pelley
50.0%▬
49.0%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2011 | 3 | 08:46 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 21, 2010 | 1 | 15:25 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 05:04 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 1 | 10:24 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 3 | 08:34 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 13:44 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Oct 9, 2010 | 1 | 06:26 | Defensive | Rod Pelley |