Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.9% vs Carter 49.8% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 73.7%
Defensive zone
Carter 53.9%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 55.6%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Backstrom
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Backstrom
Carter
Last 7: Backstrom 5-2 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Carter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
4
2
Backstrom
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (496)
49.7% (390)
-0.7%
Power Play
55.6% (151)
57.1% (7)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (38)
48.5% (33)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots left. Backstrom is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (503).
Backstrom shoots left. Carter is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (292).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Carter
Home
53.5% (368)
51.5% (171)
Away
48.3% (323)
48.7% (261)
By Period
Backstrom
Carter
P1
49.1%
50.7%
P2
51.0%
48.4%
P3
53.5%
50.4%
Final 5 min
48.5%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.1%
Carter
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 19:51 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 3 | 13:32 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 17:45 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 12, 2011 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Ryan Carter |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 11, 2011 | 2 | 17:33 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |