Nicklas Backstrom vs Ryan Kesler
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 39 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 50.5% vs Kesler 55.9% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 53-40 in 93 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 81.2%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 77.5%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 77.9%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
Backstrom
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
40
-
53
(93 meetings)
40
53
Backstrom
Kesler
Last 10: Backstrom 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
20
10
Backstrom
Kesler
30 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
11
28
Backstrom
Kesler
39 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
9
15
Backstrom
Kesler
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (11,581)
56.4% (8,095)
-6.0%
Power Play
52.3% (1,895)
60.7% (1,437)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
47.0% (889)
50.5% (1,908)
-3.5%
On power play, Kesler has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Backstrom is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (5,430).
Backstrom shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Kesler
Home
52.6% (7,223)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
48.4% (7,173)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Backstrom
Kesler
P1
50.1%
56.5%
P2
49.7%
55.9%
P3
51.6%
56.1%
OT
52.9%
46.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2019 | 3 | 12:12 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 19:53 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 2 | 17:01 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 06:20 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 17, 2019 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 19:23 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 03:55 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 03:41 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 13:30 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 10:20 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 04:59 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 03:36 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 16:41 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |