Nicklas Backstrom vs Sam Lafferty
2020-21 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Sam Lafferty holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Backstrom wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 48.5% vs Lafferty 51.2% (-4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 73.1%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 53.2%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 63.1%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Backstrom
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Backstrom
Lafferty
Last 8: Backstrom 3-5 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
5
Backstrom
Lafferty
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Lafferty
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (635)
53.5% (101)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (46)
25.0% (4)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Backstrom is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (354).
Backstrom shoots left. Lafferty is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (75).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Lafferty
Home
48.0% (348)
50.0% (62)
Away
48.6% (383)
55.8% (43)
By Period
Backstrom
Lafferty
P1
49.6%
70.0%
P2
48.2%
37.8%
P3
47.3%
52.6%
Final 5 min
46.7%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
48.3%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:14 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 25, 2021 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 3 | 08:48 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 2 | 13:40 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:20 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:13 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Feb 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:06 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |