Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Backstrom wins 56.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gomez shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 53.4% vs Gomez 47.0% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Backstrom 79.8%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 88.2%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 83.9%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 83.5%
83.5%
16.5%
Backstrom
Gomez
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Backstrom
Gomez
Last 9: Backstrom 8-1 Gomez
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
1
Backstrom
Gomez
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
2
0
Backstrom
Gomez
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
4
0
Backstrom
Gomez
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Gomez
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (1,314)
46.4% (676)
+7.7%
Power Play
56.2% (169)
48.6% (105)
+7.6%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (126)
28.6% (7)
+15.8%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gomez shoots left. Backstrom is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Backstrom shoots left. Gomez is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Gomez
Home
57.7% (799)
46.5% (417)
Away
49.5% (810)
46.6% (371)
By Period
Backstrom
Gomez
P1
54.7%
46.7%
P2
51.7%
45.1%
P3
54.2%
48.1%
OT
58.1%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
53.6%
Gomez
52.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 07:16 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 04:14 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 12:08 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 09:02 | Offensive | Scott Gomez |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 06:58 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 3 | 02:18 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 6, 2014 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |