Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.5% vs 52.0%). Look for Brent on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 52.3% vs Brent 51.8% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Brent leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 77.4%
Defensive zone
Brent 71.9%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 55.9%
Result
Tim Brent favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Backstrom
Brent
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Backstrom
Brent
Last 10: Backstrom 3-7 Brent
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Backstrom
1
0
Backstrom
Brent
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Brent
1
3
Backstrom
Brent
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Brent
1
4
Backstrom
Brent
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Brent
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (940)
52.8% (563)
-0.7%
Power Play
51.3% (267)
54.5% (22)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
55.4% (83)
51.0% (198)
+4.4%
On penalty kill, Backstrom has a +4.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brent shoots right. Backstrom is 50.8% vs right-shot opponents (547).
Backstrom shoots left. Brent is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Brent
Home
53.6% (638)
50.5% (384)
Away
51.4% (677)
53.5% (404)
By Period
Backstrom
Brent
P1
54.8%
54.9%
P2
50.5%
52.5%
P3
52.0%
48.7%
OT
59.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.7%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
52.5%
Brent
62.0%▲
51.5%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 16:32 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 12:51 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 2 | 01:19 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Jan 22, 2011 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Dec 6, 2010 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 3 | 00:18 | Defensive | Tim Brent |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Tim Brent |
| Nov 3, 2010 | 2 | 08:35 | Neutral | Tim Brent |