Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +9.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Backstrom on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Backstrom wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Ennis shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Backstrom 51.3% vs Ennis 43.6% (+9.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ennis 57.9%
Defensive zone
Ennis 50.5%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 59.4%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Backstrom
Ennis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Backstrom
Ennis
Last 8: Backstrom 4-4 Ennis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ennis
1
2
Backstrom
Ennis
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ennis
0
1
Backstrom
Ennis
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Backstrom
3
1
Backstrom
Ennis
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Backstrom
Ennis
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (654)
39.8% (329)
+11.4%
Power Play
50.9% (110)
55.6% (45)
-4.7%
Penalty Kill
53.9% (76)
66.7% (3)
-12.8%
On penalty kill, Ennis has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ennis shoots left. Backstrom is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Backstrom shoots left. Ennis is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Backstrom
Ennis
Home
52.0% (400)
44.5% (191)
Away
50.9% (440)
39.2% (186)
By Period
Backstrom
Ennis
P1
51.6%
42.7%
P2
51.1%
37.7%
P3
50.7%
45.0%
OT
65.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
39.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
51.4%
Ennis
60.0%▲
43.5%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2013 | OT | 02:26 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 2 | 01:19 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 30, 2013 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 3 | 18:07 | Neutral | Tyler Ennis |
| Mar 17, 2013 | 3 | 11:30 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |
| Jan 27, 2013 | 2 | 01:02 | Offensive | Tyler Ennis |