Scouting Report
Brendan Gaunce holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaunce on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Gaunce wins 56.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gaunce 54.4% vs Hischier 54.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 71.4%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 70.1%
Neutral zone
Hischier 53.6%
Result
Brendan Gaunce favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Gaunce
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gaunce
Hischier
Last 6: Gaunce 3-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Gaunce
Hischier
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaunce
2
1
Gaunce
Hischier
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Gaunce
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gaunce
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (155)
55.0% (1,107)
+3.1%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
63.1% (252)
-63.1%
Penalty Kill
52.0% (25)
43.6% (149)
+8.4%
On power play, Hischier has a +63.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Gaunce is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Gaunce shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Gaunce
Hischier
Home
54.8% (93)
56.5% (763)
Away
59.1% (88)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Gaunce
Hischier
P1
62.3%
56.0%
P2
48.1%
57.6%
P3
59.5%
53.0%
Final 5 min
51.2%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 19:01 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 1, 2025 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |