Scouting Report
Nico Hischier holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Blackwell wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Blackwell 44.7% vs Hischier 54.9% (-12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hischier 56.1%
Defensive zone
Blackwell 85.9%
Neutral zone
Blackwell 72.9%
Result
Colin Blackwell favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
Blackwell
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Blackwell
Hischier
Last 5: Blackwell 1-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
Blackwell
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blackwell
1
0
Blackwell
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Blackwell
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (172)
55.0% (1,107)
-6.7%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
63.1% (252)
-63.1%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (82)
43.6% (149)
-11.9%
On power play, Hischier has a +63.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Blackwell is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Blackwell shoots right. Hischier is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (531).
Home / Away
Blackwell
Hischier
Home
43.8% (144)
56.5% (763)
Away
41.1% (112)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Blackwell
Hischier
P1
45.3%
56.0%
P2
36.1%
57.6%
P3
46.0%
53.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Blackwell
44.0%▬
44.5%
42.6%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:28 | Defensive | Colin Blackwell |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |