Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Bailey wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bailey 51.1% vs Hischier 45.7% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Bailey 53.0%
Defensive zone
Hischier 64.7%
Neutral zone
Hischier 51.4%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Bailey
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Bailey
Hischier
Last 10: Bailey 5-5 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bailey
3
1
Bailey
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
4
Bailey
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bailey
1
0
Bailey
Hischier
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bailey
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
51.3% (236)
45.1% (879)
+6.2%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
50.0% (68)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
36.8% (19)
-11.8%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +11.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Bailey is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (171).
Bailey shoots left. Hischier is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Home / Away
Bailey
Hischier
Home
55.0% (140)
42.7% (499)
Away
47.7% (132)
48.0% (467)
By Period
Bailey
Hischier
P1
57.1%
48.2%
P2
50.0%
40.7%
P3
47.8%
46.4%
OT
50.0%
52.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
51.5%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 13:31 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 3 | 10:30 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:54 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:49 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 09:58 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 07:10 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 17, 2019 | 1 | 06:58 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |